Stockton Town v Guiseley AFC: the model read
Stockton Town meet Guiseley AFC in the Non League Premier - Northern - Play-offs northern play-offs - semi-finals at The Map Group UK Stadium, Stockton-on-Tees. The model makes Guiseley AFC the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 32% STO, 31% draw, 38% GUI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 55%. Attacking output favors Guiseley AFC on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Guiseley AFC at 54%; double chance reads Stockton Town or draw 62%, Guiseley AFC or draw 68%.
Stockton Town arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Darlington 1883, L 0-2 @ Hednesford Town, W 2-1 @ Rylands, D 1-1 @ United of Manchester.
Guiseley AFC are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Pontefract Collieries, W 3-2 v Blackburn Rovers U21, W 1-0 @ Garforth Town, W 2-0 v Stocksbridge Park Steels.
Stockton Town hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Guiseley AFC 1-1 Stockton Town.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output