Heegan v Mogadishu City: the model read
Heegan meet Mogadishu City in the Somali Premier League regular season - 22 at Muqdisho Stadium, Mogadishu. The model makes Heegan the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% HEE, 29% draw, 28% MOG.
The baseline ratings are close, 1707 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 78% against 70%. Attacking output favors Heegan on expected goals, 2.3 to 2.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Heegan at 60%; double chance reads Heegan or draw 72%, Mogadishu City or draw 57%.
Heegan arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Mogadishu City, W 4-1 v Madbacadda, D 2-2 @ Jeenyo, D 0-0 @ Horseed.
Mogadishu City are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Singida Black Stars, D 0-0 @ Simba, W 2-0 @ Police, L 1-3 v Police.
Heegan hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Heegan 2-2 Mogadishu City.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output