Capital Brasilia v Goianésia: the model read
Capital Brasilia meet Goianésia in the Serie D 1st phase - 9 at Estádio Juscelino Kubitschek, Paranoá, Distrito Federal. The model makes Capital Brasilia the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% CAP, 31% draw, 24% GOI.
Capital Brasilia rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1400. Recent form leans Capital Brasilia, 65% against 33%. Attacking output favors Capital Brasilia on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans Capital Brasilia at 65%; double chance reads Capital Brasilia or draw 76%, Goianésia or draw 55%.
Capital Brasilia arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Nacional AM, L 0-1 @ Nacional AM, W 4-0 v Aparecidense, D 1-1 @ Aparecidense.
Goianésia are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Ceilândia, D 1-1 v Luverdense, L 1-2 @ Aparecidense, L 1-3 v Goiânia.
Capital Brasilia hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Capital Brasilia 1-1 Goianésia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
