Capital Brasilia v Goiânia: the model read
Capital Brasilia meet Goiânia in the Serie D 1st phase - 7 at Estádio Juscelino Kubitschek, Paranoá, Distrito Federal. The model makes Capital Brasilia the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 47% CAP, 31% draw, 23% GOI.
Capital Brasilia rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1400. Recent form leans Capital Brasilia, 65% against 30%. Attacking output favors Capital Brasilia on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 40%. Draw no bet leans Capital Brasilia at 67%; double chance reads Capital Brasilia or draw 77%, Goiânia or draw 53%.
Capital Brasilia arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Nacional AM, L 0-1 @ Nacional AM, W 4-0 v Aparecidense, D 1-1 @ Aparecidense.
Goiânia are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Luverdense, D 2-2 v Ceilândia, D 2-2 @ Porto Velho, W 3-1 @ Goianésia.
Their last 2 meetings are tight — 2 drawn. Most recently they met in 2025: Goiânia 1-1 Capital Brasilia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
