Oman v Saudi Arabia

Oman meet Saudi Arabia in the Gulf Cup of Nations semi-finals at Jaber Al-Mubarak Al-Hamad Stadium, Kuwait City. The model makes Oman the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% OMA, 33% draw, 32% SAU.

The baseline ratings are close, 1528 to 1504, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 50%. Attacking output favors Oman on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 28%. Draw no bet leans Oman at 53%; double chance reads Oman or draw 68%, Saudi Arabia or draw 65%.

Oman arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Mozambique, L 0-3 @ Indonesia, W 2-1 v Comoros, D 0-0 v Morocco.

Saudi Arabia are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Cape Verde Islands, L 0-4 @ Spain, D 1-1 v Uruguay, D 0-0 v Senegal.

Saudi Arabia hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Saudi Arabia 2-1 Oman.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.