Tokyo Verdy v Kashima: the model read
Tokyo Verdy meet Kashima in the J1 League regular season - 37 at Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo. The model makes Kashima the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 20% TOK, 28% draw, 51% KAS.
Kashima rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1742 to 1489. Recent form leans Kashima, 83% against 48%. Attacking output favors Kashima on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 53%. Draw no bet leans Kashima at 71%; double chance reads Tokyo Verdy or draw 49%, Kashima or draw 80%.
Tokyo Verdy arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v Gamba Osaka, D 1-1 @ Gamba Osaka, L 0-6 v Yokohama F. Marinos, W 1-0 @ Mito Hollyhock.
Kashima are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 v Vegalta Sendai, W 2-0 v Vissel Kobe, L 0-5 @ Vissel Kobe, W 1-0 v FC Tokyo.
Kashima hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tokyo Verdy 2-1 Kashima.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
