Gourbeyre v Phare du Canal: the model read
Gourbeyre meet Phare du Canal in the Division d'Honneur regular season - 26 at Stade de Rivière-des-Pères, Basse-Terre. The model makes Gourbeyre the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 47% GOU, 29% draw, 24% PHA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1432 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Gourbeyre, 39% against 21%. Attacking output favors Gourbeyre on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans Gourbeyre at 67%; double chance reads Gourbeyre or draw 76%, Phare du Canal or draw 53%.
Gourbeyre arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Phare du Canal, D 1-1 @ USBM, L 0-1 @ Sporting Baie-Mahault, L 0-1 v Moulien.
Phare du Canal are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Gourbeyre, L 0-3 v Sporting Baie-Mahault, W 1-0 @ CERFA, L 0-4 v Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau.
Phare du Canal hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Gourbeyre 4-1 Phare du Canal.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output