Brazil W v Spain W: the model read
Brazil W meet Spain W in the Olympics Women semi-finals at Orange Vélodrome, Marseille. The model makes Spain W the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 25% BRA, 27% draw, 49% SPA.
Spain W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1799 to 1661. Recent form leans Spain W, 90% against 70%. Attacking output favors Spain W on expected goals, 3.2 to 2.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans Spain W at 66%; double chance reads Brazil W or draw 51%, Spain W or draw 75%.
Brazil W arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v USA W, W 2-1 v USA W, W 1-0 v Canada W, W 6-1 v Zambia W.
Spain W are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 18 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 @ Iceland W, W 4-0 v England W, W 5-0 v Ukraine W, L 0-1 @ England W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
