Sart-Lez-Spa v Ster-Francorchamps: the model read
Sart-Lez-Spa meet Ster-Francorchamps in the Provincial - Liege liège - 30 at Terrein 2 RFC Sart-lez-Spa, Sart-lez-Spa. The model makes Ster-Francorchamps the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 29% SAR, 31% draw, 40% STE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1444, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 37% against 42%. Attacking output favors Sart-Lez-Spa on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Ster-Francorchamps at 58%; double chance reads Sart-Lez-Spa or draw 60%, Ster-Francorchamps or draw 71%.
Sart-Lez-Spa arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Ster-Francorchamps, W 4-1 @ Beaufays, W 1-0 v Herstal, L 0-5 @ Croatia Wandre.
Ster-Francorchamps are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 1 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Sart-Lez-Spa, D 0-0 v Xhoris, L 0-1 @ Entente Blegnytoise, W 1-0 @ Hombourg.
Sart-Lez-Spa hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Sart-Lez-Spa 0-0 Ster-Francorchamps.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output