Bordeaux II v Castanet: the model read
Bordeaux II meet Castanet in the National 3 - Group A group a - 22 at Complexe Sportif Robert Monseau 4, Saint-Médard-en-Jalles. The model makes Bordeaux II the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% BOR, 31% draw, 31% CAS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 45%. Attacking output favors Bordeaux II on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Bordeaux II at 55%; double chance reads Bordeaux II or draw 69%, Castanet or draw 62%.
Bordeaux II arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 13 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Stade Bordelais, L 2-3 v Pau II, L 2-3 v Toulouse II, W 3-2 @ Trélissac.
Castanet are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Toulouse II, L 0-1 @ SAG Cestas, W 2-0 v Agde, L 1-2 @ Colomiers.
Castanet hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Bordeaux II 3-2 Castanet.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
