AD Marco 09 v Leça: the model read
AD Marco 09 meet Leça in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B group b - 18 at Estádio Municipal do Marco de Canaveses, Marco de Canaveses. The model makes Leça the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 24% AD , 30% draw, 47% LEÇ.
Leça rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1466. Recent form leans Leça, 68% against 45%. Attacking output favors Leça on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Leça at 66%; double chance reads AD Marco 09 or draw 53%, Leça or draw 76%.
AD Marco 09 arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ União de Leiria, D 2-2 @ Paredes, W 1-0 v SC Braga B, W 1-0 v Fafe.
Leça are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Santa Clara, D 1-1 v Vitória de Sernache, W 1-0 v Bragança, L 1-2 @ Rebordosa.
Leça hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: AD Marco 09 3-2 Leça.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
