Al-Fateh v Al-Ahli Jeddah: the model read
Al-Fateh meet Al-Ahli Jeddah in the Pro League regular season - 2 at Al Fateh Club Stadium, Al-Hasa. The model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 22% AL-, 27% draw, 51% AL-.
Al-Ahli Jeddah rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1400. Recent form leans Al-Ahli Jeddah, 69% against 33%. Attacking output favors Al-Ahli Jeddah on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 71%. Draw no bet leans Al-Ahli Jeddah at 70%; double chance reads Al-Fateh or draw 49%, Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 78%.
Al-Fateh arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Mallorca, D 0-0 @ Al Kholood, W 2-0 v Al Najma, L 0-1 @ Al Riyadh.
Al-Ahli Jeddah are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Guimaraes, D 2-2 @ Rio Ave, L 1-4 @ Holstein Kiel, W 4-1 @ Al Khaleej Saihat.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al-Ahli Jeddah 3-1 Al-Fateh.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
