Amarante v Fafe: the model read
Amarante meet Fafe in the Liga 3 regular season - 17 at Estádio Municipal de Amarante, Amarante. The model makes Amarante the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% AMA, 33% draw, 29% FAF.
The baseline ratings are close, 1662 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Amarante, 74% against 57%. Attacking output favors Amarante on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Amarante at 57%; double chance reads Amarante or draw 71%, Fafe or draw 62%.
Amarante arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Chaves, W 3-1 @ Guimaraes B, W 1-0 v União Santarém, D 0-0 @ Trofense.
Fafe are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Sanjoanense, L 1-4 @ Chaves, W 3-0 @ Vizela, D 0-0 @ SC Braga B.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Amarante 3-2 Fafe.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
