Montpellier v Le Havre: the model read
Montpellier meet Le Havre in the Ligue 1 regular season - 28 at Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, Montpellier. The model makes Montpellier the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% MON, 30% draw, 26% LE .
Montpellier rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1432. Recent form leans Montpellier, 63% against 42%. Attacking output favors Montpellier on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Montpellier at 62%; double chance reads Montpellier or draw 74%, Le Havre or draw 57%.
Montpellier arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Clermont Foot, L 3-4 v Cannes, W 5-2 v Le Puy Foot, W 3-2 v Aubagne.
Le Havre are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Amiens, W 2-0 @ Lorient, L 0-1 v Marseille, D 1-1 @ Lille.
Le Havre hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Montpellier 0-2 Le Havre.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
