VVV Venlo v De Graafschap: the model read
VVV Venlo meet De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 36 at Covebo Stadion - De Koel -, Venlo. The model makes De Graafschap the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 35% VVV, 27% draw, 38% DE .
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 53%. Attacking output favors De Graafschap on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 83%, over 2.5 goals around 86%. Draw no bet leans De Graafschap at 52%; double chance reads VVV Venlo or draw 62%, De Graafschap or draw 65%.
VVV Venlo arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 3-5 @ FC Viktoria Köln, W 2-1 v Oud-Heverlee Leuven II, D 2-2 @ De Treffers, W 2-1 v Bochum II.
De Graafschap are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 10 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 3-6 v Telstar, L 1-2 v AEK Athens FC, L 2-7 @ Heerenveen, W 2-1 @ Utrecht.
VVV Venlo hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: VVV Venlo 3-3 De Graafschap.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
