Lobos Buap v Necaxa: the model read
Lobos Buap meet Necaxa in the Liga MX clausura - 3 at Estadio Universitario BUAP, Puebla. The model makes Necaxa the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 30% LOB, 30% draw, 40% NEC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1492, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 47%. Attacking output favors Necaxa on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Necaxa at 57%; double chance reads Lobos Buap or draw 60%, Necaxa or draw 70%.
Lobos Buap arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Toluca, L 1-4 v Cruz Azul, W 2-1 @ Club Tijuana, L 0-3 v Tigres UANL.
Necaxa are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Atlante FC, D 0-0 @ Atlas, W 6-3 @ Correcaminos Uat, W 1-0 v Monarcas.
Necaxa hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Lobos Buap 2-3 Necaxa.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
