Tersana v Sporting Alexandria: the model read
Tersana meet Sporting Alexandria in the Second League - Play-offs promotion play-offs - 3 at Mit Okba Stadium, Giza. The model makes Tersana the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% TER, 35% draw, 27% SPO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Tersana, 48% against 33%. Attacking output favors Tersana on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 23%, over 2.5 goals around 17%. Draw no bet leans Tersana at 58%; double chance reads Tersana or draw 73%, Sporting Alexandria or draw 62%.
Tersana arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ El Entag EL Harby, D 0-0 v Abu Qair Semad, D 2-2 @ Tanta SC, W 3-1 v Asyut Petrol.
Sporting Alexandria are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Itesalat, D 2-2 v Proxy, L 0-1 @ El Dakhleya, D 2-2 v Olympic El Qanah.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output