Stade de Mbour v Jaraaf: the model read
Stade de Mbour meet Jaraaf in the Ligue 1 regular season - 23 at Stade Caroline Faye, Mbour. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 25% STA, 44% draw, 30% JAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 50%. Attacking output favors Jaraaf on expected goals, 0.6 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 5%, over 2.5 goals around 2%. Draw no bet leans Jaraaf at 55%; double chance reads Stade de Mbour or draw 70%, Jaraaf or draw 75%.
Stade de Mbour arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Gorée, L 0-2 v Guédiawaye, L 0-2 @ Teungueth, W 2-0 @ DSC.
Jaraaf are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 0 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ AS Camberene, D 0-0 v Casa Sport, W 3-0 v DSC, D 0-0 @ Pikine.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Stade de Mbour 0-2 Jaraaf.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
