Fredrikstad v IF Elfsborg: the model read
Fredrikstad meet IF Elfsborg in the The Atlantic Cup group stage - 1 at Estádio da Nora, Albufeira. The model makes IF Elfsborg the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 30% FRE, 30% draw, 40% IF .
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans IF Elfsborg, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Fredrikstad on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans IF Elfsborg at 57%; double chance reads Fredrikstad or draw 60%, IF Elfsborg or draw 70%.
Fredrikstad arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Bodo/Glimt, L 0-2 v Lillestrom, L 1-3 @ Valerenga, D 0-0 v IF Elfsborg.
IF Elfsborg are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Sirius, L 0-1 @ Gais, L 1-2 v Hammarby FF, D 0-0 @ Fredrikstad.
Fredrikstad hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fredrikstad 0-0 IF Elfsborg.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
