Quilmes v Club Atlético Güemes: the model read
Quilmes meet Club Atlético Güemes in the Primera Nacional regular season - 34 at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes, Provincia de Buenos Aires. The model makes Quilmes the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% QUI, 33% draw, 26% CLU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1480 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Quilmes, 47% against 37%. Attacking output favors Quilmes on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 29%, over 2.5 goals around 26%. Draw no bet leans Quilmes at 61%; double chance reads Quilmes or draw 74%, Club Atlético Güemes or draw 59%.
Quilmes arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Midland, W 2-1 v Atlanta, L 1-3 @ Colegiales, W 1-0 v Gimnasia Y Tiro.
Club Atlético Güemes are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v San Martin S.J., L 0-2 @ Nueva Chicago, L 1-3 v Gimnasia Jujuy, L 1-4 @ Temperley.
Club Atlético Güemes hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Club Atlético Güemes 2-1 Quilmes.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
