Almirante Brown v Nueva Chicago: the model read
Almirante Brown meet Nueva Chicago in the Primera Nacional regular season - 28 at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 33% ALM, 38% draw, 29% NUE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1468, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 47%. Attacking output favors Nueva Chicago on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 14%, over 2.5 goals around 7%. Draw no bet leans Almirante Brown at 53%; double chance reads Almirante Brown or draw 71%, Nueva Chicago or draw 67%.
Almirante Brown arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v CA Estudiantes, D 1-1 @ All Boys, W 1-0 v Los Andes, W 3-1 v Atletico Mitre.
Nueva Chicago are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Agropecuario, L 0-1 @ Tristan Suarez, W 2-0 v Club Atlético Güemes, D 0-0 v Atletico DE Rafaela.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Nueva Chicago 1-3 Almirante Brown.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
