Sitra v Al Ittihad: the model read
Sitra meet Al Ittihad in the Federation Cup group stage - 5. The model makes Sitra the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% SIT, 31% draw, 30% AL .
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sitra, 38% against 16%. Attacking output favors Sitra on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 45%. Draw no bet leans Sitra at 57%; double chance reads Sitra or draw 70%, Al Ittihad or draw 61%.
Sitra arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Malkiya, W 3-1 @ Al Shabab, L 0-2 v Al Ahli, W 2-0 @ A'Ali.
Al Ittihad are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 4 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Budaiya, L 0-3 @ Manama, L 1-2 @ Al Najma, L 1-5 v Al Ittifaq Maqaba.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output