Colombia U23 v United States U23: the model read
Colombia U23 meet United States U23 in the Pan American Games group stage - 3 at Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, Valparaíso. The model makes United States U23 the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 24% COL, 31% draw, 45% UNI.
United States U23 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1527 to 1400. Recent form leans United States U23, 50% against 29%. Attacking output favors United States U23 on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans United States U23 at 65%; double chance reads Colombia U23 or draw 55%, United States U23 or draw 76%.
Colombia U23 arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 0 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Bolivia U23, L 0-1 v Venezuela U23, L 0-2 @ Brazil U23, L 0-3 @ Ecuador U23.
United States U23 are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Morocco U23, W 3-0 v Guinea U23, W 4-1 @ New Zealand U23, L 0-3 @ France U23.
United States U23 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Colombia U23 0-2 United States U23.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
