ES Tunis v TP Mazembe: the model read
ES Tunis meet TP Mazembe in the African Football League quarter-finals at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi, Radès. The model makes TP Mazembe the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 28% ES , 36% draw, 36% TP .
The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1734, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans TP Mazembe, 82% against 73%. Attacking output favors TP Mazembe on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 20%, over 2.5 goals around 13%. Draw no bet leans TP Mazembe at 57%; double chance reads ES Tunis or draw 64%, TP Mazembe or draw 72%.
ES Tunis arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 9 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ ES Zarzis, W 1-0 @ Jeunesse Sportive Omrane, W 3-0 @ BS Bouhajla, W 3-1 @ ES Metlaoui.
TP Mazembe are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Céleste, W 3-0 @ Don Bosco, D 0-0 v Saint Eloi Lupopo, W 2-0 v JSK.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: ES Tunis 3-0 TP Mazembe.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
