Alaior v Portmany: the model read
Alaior meet Portmany in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 group 11 - 34 at Estadio Los Pinos, Menorca. The model makes Portmany the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 31% ALA, 34% draw, 35% POR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 28% against 30%. Attacking output favors Portmany on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 29%, over 2.5 goals around 21%. Draw no bet leans Portmany at 53%; double chance reads Alaior or draw 65%, Portmany or draw 69%.
Alaior arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Portmany, L 1-2 @ Mallorca II, L 0-3 v Poblense, L 0-1 @ Constància.
Portmany are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Rotlet Molinar, L 1-2 @ Collerense, D 1-1 v Santanyí, D 1-1 @ Son Cladera.
Portmany hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Alaior 1-1 Portmany.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
