Alaior v Binissalem: the model read
Alaior meet Binissalem in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 group 11 - 28 at Estadio Los Pinos, Menorca. The model makes Binissalem the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 25% ALA, 35% draw, 40% BIN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Binissalem, 50% against 28%. Attacking output favors Binissalem on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 23%, over 2.5 goals around 19%. Draw no bet leans Binissalem at 61%; double chance reads Alaior or draw 60%, Binissalem or draw 75%.
Alaior arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Portmany, L 1-2 @ Mallorca II, L 0-3 v Poblense, L 0-1 @ Constància.
Binissalem are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Son Cladera, D 1-1 @ Alcúdia, L 0-2 v Mallorca II, D 0-0 @ Platges Calvià.
Alaior hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Alaior 1-0 Binissalem.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
