Alaior v Santanyí: the model read
Alaior meet Santanyí in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 group 11 - 20 at Estadio Los Pinos, Menorca. The model makes Santanyí the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 26% ALA, 31% draw, 43% SAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Santanyí, 50% against 28%. Attacking output favors Santanyí on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 36%. Draw no bet leans Santanyí at 63%; double chance reads Alaior or draw 57%, Santanyí or draw 74%.
Alaior arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Portmany, L 1-2 @ Mallorca II, L 0-3 v Poblense, L 0-1 @ Constància.
Santanyí are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Felanitx, W 2-1 v Peña Deportiva, D 1-1 @ Portmany, D 2-2 v Rotlet Molinar.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Alaior 0-1 Santanyí.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
