Al Ahed v Al Nejmeh: the model read
Al Ahed meet Al Nejmeh in the Federation Cup semi-finals at Amin Abdelnour Stadium, Bhamdoun. The model makes Al Nejmeh the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 25% AL , 31% draw, 44% AL .
Al Nejmeh rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1528. Recent form leans Al Nejmeh, 73% against 53%. Attacking output favors Al Nejmeh on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 36%. Draw no bet leans Al Nejmeh at 64%; double chance reads Al Ahed or draw 56%, Al Nejmeh or draw 75%.
Al Ahed arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Al Ansar, L 0-2 @ Jwaaya FC, L 0-2 v Al Nejmeh, D 3-3 @ Al Ansar.
Al Nejmeh are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Jwaaya FC, D 1-1 @ Al Ansar, W 2-0 @ Al Ahed, D 0-0 @ Jwaaya FC.
Al Nejmeh hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al Ahed 0-2 Al Nejmeh.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
