Nepal W v Afghanistan W: the model read
Nepal W meet Afghanistan W in the Olympics Women - Qualification Asia 1st round - 2. The model makes Nepal W the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% NEP, 27% draw, 28% AFG.
The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Nepal W, 45% against 25%. Attacking output favors Afghanistan W on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 75%, over 2.5 goals around 86%. Draw no bet leans Nepal W at 62%; double chance reads Nepal W or draw 72%, Afghanistan W or draw 55%.
Nepal W arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Chinese Taipei W, L 1-2 @ Indonesia W, D 1-1 @ India W, W 2-1 @ India W.
Afghanistan W are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Cook Islands W, L 0-1 @ Cook Islands W, W 7-0 @ Libya W, L 0-4 @ Tunisia W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
