Scotland v Morocco

Scotland meet Morocco in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group c at Gillette Stadium, Boston. The model makes Morocco the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 28% SCO, 31% draw, 41% MAR.

The baseline ratings are close, 1800 to 1910, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Morocco, 72% against 60%. Attacking output favors Morocco on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Scotland 0-1 Morocco, from expected goals of 0.8 to 1.6.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Morocco at 60%; double chance reads Scotland or draw 59%, Morocco or draw 72%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.