Bosnia and Herzegovina v Qatar

Bosnia and Herzegovina meet Qatar in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group b at Lumen Field, Seattle. The model makes Bosnia and Herzegovina the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% BIH, 31% draw, 31% QAT.

The baseline ratings are close, 1790 to 1730, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 58% against 52%. Attacking output favors Bosnia and Herzegovina on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.0 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-0 Qatar, from expected goals of 1.4 to 1.0.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 41%. Draw no bet leans Bosnia and Herzegovina at 55%; double chance reads Bosnia and Herzegovina or draw 69%, Qatar or draw 62%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.