Pumas Tabasco v Celaya: the model read
Pumas Tabasco meet Celaya in the Liga de Expansión MX clausura - 8 at Estadio Olímpico de Villahermosa, Villahermosa. The model makes Celaya the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 25% PUM, 28% draw, 47% CEL.
Celaya rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1468. Recent form leans Celaya, 70% against 47%. Attacking output favors Celaya on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans Celaya at 65%; double chance reads Pumas Tabasco or draw 53%, Celaya or draw 75%.
Pumas Tabasco arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Alebrijes de Oaxaca, L 1-4 @ Cancún, W 1-0 v Monarcas, W 2-0 @ Mineros de Zacatecas.
Celaya are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Cimarrones, W 2-1 v Cimarrones, W 2-1 @ Leones Negros, W 5-0 v Leones Negros.
Celaya hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Pumas Tabasco 0-1 Celaya.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
