Sète v Fréjus St-Raphaël: the model read
Sète meet Fréjus St-Raphaël in the National 2 - Group C group c - 20 at Stade Louis-Michel, Sète. The model makes Fréjus St-Raphaël the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 31% SÈT, 29% draw, 40% FRÉ.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 33% against 40%. Attacking output favors Sète on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 69%. Draw no bet leans Fréjus St-Raphaël at 56%; double chance reads Sète or draw 60%, Fréjus St-Raphaël or draw 69%.
Sète arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Manicoré, D 2-2 v Sul América, D 0-0 @ Manicoré, W 2-1 v JC.
Fréjus St-Raphaël are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Grasse, L 0-1 @ Bobigny, L 0-1 v Toulon, D 0-0 v Saint-Priest.
Fréjus St-Raphaël hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Sète 1-1 Fréjus St-Raphaël.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
