Al Shabab v Al Baten: the model read
Al Shabab meet Al Baten in the Crown Prince Cup round of 16 at King Fahd International Stadium, Riyadh. The model makes Al Shabab the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% AL , 27% draw, 28% AL .
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Al Shabab, 45% against 33%. Attacking output favors Al Shabab on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 76%, over 2.5 goals around 84%. Draw no bet leans Al Shabab at 62%; double chance reads Al Shabab or draw 72%, Al Baten or draw 55%.
Al Shabab arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Al Nasr, L 0-1 @ Al Najma, W 3-2 v Al-Ittihad FC, L 1-2 @ NEOM.
Al Baten are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Al-Faisaly FC, W 4-1 v Al Taee, D 0-0 v Al Bukayriyah, L 1-3 @ Abha.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
