J. Malucelli v Metropolitano: the model read
J. Malucelli meet Metropolitano in the Serie D regular season - 7 at Estádio Janguito Malucelli, Curitiba, Paraná. The model makes Metropolitano the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 30% J. , 30% draw, 40% MET.
The baseline ratings are close, 1547 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Metropolitano, 68% against 58%. Attacking output favors Metropolitano on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans Metropolitano at 57%; double chance reads J. Malucelli or draw 60%, Metropolitano or draw 70%.
J. Malucelli arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Sao Bento, D 1-1 v Sao Bento, W 2-1 v Espírito Santo, W 1-0 @ Espírito Santo.
Metropolitano are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Juventus SC, W 6-1 v Jaraguá, L 1-4 @ Blumenau, W 3-2 @ Tubarao.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2013: J. Malucelli 3-1 Metropolitano.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output