Estarreja v Ponte da Barca: the model read
Estarreja meet Ponte da Barca in the Taça de Portugal 2nd round at Estádio Dr. Tavares da Silva (Estarreja), undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1452, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 43%. Attacking output favors Estarreja on expected goals, 2.6 to 0.9 per match.
Estarreja arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 13 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 4-5 @ Guarda, L 1-2 v Águias do Moradal, L 1-3 v Nacional, W 3-1 v Ponte da Barca.
Ponte da Barca are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Os Limianos, D 0-0 @ Montalegre, W 1-0 @ Maia Lidador, L 1-2 v Vila Meã.
Estarreja hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2016: Estarreja 3-1 Ponte da Barca.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output