Where the market is wrong on Worksop Town v United of Manchester
Worksop Town meet United of Manchester in the FA Cup 3rd round qualifying.
Worksop Town rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1420. Recent form leans Worksop Town, 63% against 35%. Attacking output favors Worksop Town on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.7 per match.
Worksop Town arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Chester, W 5-2 v AFC Telford United, D 2-2 @ AFC Telford United, W 2-0 v Southport.
United of Manchester are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 16 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Hyde United, W 4-1 v Ossett United, W 4-1 v Warrington Town, W 5-1 @ Garforth Town.
Worksop Town hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Worksop Town 1-1 United of Manchester.
The market prices WOR at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
