Where the market is wrong on Holstein Kiel v Viborg
Holstein Kiel meet Viborg in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies.
The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 50%. Attacking output favors Holstein Kiel on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Holstein Kiel arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Viborg, D 1-1 v VfL Osnabrück, L 0-1 @ 1. FC Heidenheim, D 2-2 v 1. FC Nürnberg.
Viborg are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Holstein Kiel, W 4-1 v FC Nordsjaelland, L 1-2 @ Brabrand, D 1-1 @ Silkeborg.
Holstein Kiel hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Holstein Kiel 3-1 Viborg.
The market prices HOL at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
