Where the market is wrong on Worksop Town v AFC Telford United
Worksop Town meet AFC Telford United in the FA Cup 2nd round qualifying.
Worksop Town rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1400. Recent form leans Worksop Town, 63% against 35%. Attacking output favors Worksop Town on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.1 per match.
Worksop Town arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 v AFC Telford United, D 2-2 @ AFC Telford United, W 2-0 v Southport, L 1-2 v Bedford Town.
AFC Telford United are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 @ Worksop Town, D 2-2 v Worksop Town, D 0-0 @ Harborough Town, W 1-0 v Oxford City.
Worksop Town hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Worksop Town 5-2 AFC Telford United.
The market prices WOR at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Worksop Town: a 5.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 69 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
