Where the market is wrong on Farnborough v Uxbridge
Farnborough meet Uxbridge in the FA Cup 2nd round qualifying.
Uxbridge rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1637 to 1516. Recent form leans Uxbridge, 71% against 50%. Attacking output favors Uxbridge on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.5 per match.
Farnborough arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 2 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Uxbridge, D 2-2 @ Uxbridge, L 0-1 v Dover, L 0-2 @ Hampton & Richmond.
Uxbridge are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Farnborough, D 2-2 v Farnborough, L 0-1 @ Berkhamsted, W 5-0 v Chichester City.
Uxbridge hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Farnborough 0-2 Uxbridge.
The market prices FAR at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Uxbridge: a 21.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
