Where the market is wrong on East Bengal II v Minerva Punjab
East Bengal II meet Minerva Punjab in the IFA Shield group stage at Salt Lake Stadium, Kolkata.
The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 70% against 63%. Attacking output favors East Bengal II on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.6 per match.
East Bengal II arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Minerva Punjab, W 3-1 @ Calcutta Customs, D 2-2 @ Al Hussein, W 4-1 v Al Arabi.
Minerva Punjab are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ East Bengal II, W 7-0 @ Calcutta Customs, L 0-2 v Horley Town, L 0-2 v Mumbai City.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: East Bengal II 0-1 Minerva Punjab.
The market prices EAS at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on East Bengal II: a 7.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 71 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
