Where the market is wrong on St. Kitts and Nevis v Grenada
St. Kitts and Nevis meet Grenada in the CONCACAF Nations League league b - 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1480, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans St. Kitts and Nevis, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors St. Kitts and Nevis on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.5 per match.
St. Kitts and Nevis arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Bonaire, W 4-2 v Solomon Islands, L 0-4 @ Indonesia, L 2-6 v Belize.
Grenada are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 0 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Cuba, L 0-5 @ Rep. Of Ireland, L 0-3 v Kenya, L 0-4 @ Rwanda.
Grenada hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: St. Kitts and Nevis 2-3 Grenada.
The market prices ST. at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on St. Kitts and Nevis: a 11.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
