Where the market is wrong on Korea DPR U20 W v Japan U20 W
Korea DPR U20 W meet Japan U20 W in the World Cup - U20 - Women round of 16.
The baseline ratings are close, 1845 to 1742, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Korea DPR U20 W, 95% against 83%. Attacking output favors Korea DPR U20 W on expected goals, 4.8 to 3.4 per match.
Korea DPR U20 W arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 11 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Japan U20 W, W 3-0 @ Colombia U20 W, W 4-0 v Costa Rica U20 W, W 2-0 v Portugal U20 W.
Japan U20 W are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Korea DPR U20 W, D 1-1 @ Italy U20 W, D 2-2 v United States U20 W, W 2-1 v New Zealand U20 W.
Korea DPR U20 W hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Korea DPR U20 W 2-0 Japan U20 W.
The market prices KOR at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on Japan U20 W: a 13.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
