Where the market is wrong on Al Shamal v Muaither SC
Al Shamal meet Muaither SC in the QSL Cup group stage - 2 at Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 60%. Attacking output favors Muaither SC on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.8 per match.
Al Shamal arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Muaither SC, W 4-0 @ Al Bidda SC, D 1-1 v Al-Ittihad FC, D 1-1 v Al Wakrah.
Muaither SC are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Al Shamal, W 2-0 v Al-Khor, W 1-0 @ Al-Gharafa B, W 5-1 v Al Rayyan SC B.
Al Shamal hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al Shamal 2-1 Muaither SC.
The market prices AL at 60% implied. Our number sits apart on Muaither SC: a 19.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
