Where the market is wrong on Al Kharaitiyat v Al Wakrah
Al Kharaitiyat meet Al Wakrah in the QSL Cup group stage - 2 at Al Khor Stadium, Al Khor.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 48%. Attacking output favors Al Wakrah on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Al Kharaitiyat arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ UMM Salal, D 1-1 @ Al Mesaimeer, W 3-1 v Al-Khor, D 0-0 @ Al Shamal II.
Al Wakrah are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Al-Sailiya, D 1-1 @ Al Shamal, L 0-4 @ Lusail City, L 1-2 v Al-Rayyan SC.
The market prices AL at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on Al Kharaitiyat: a 14.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
