Where the market is wrong on Kettering Town v Quorn
Kettering Town meet Quorn in the FA Cup 2nd round qualifying.
Kettering Town rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1400. Recent form leans Kettering Town, 70% against 30%. Attacking output favors Kettering Town on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.
Kettering Town arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Rushall Olympic, W 2-0 v Quorn, W 1-0 v Stratford Town, W 2-1 v Wellingborough Town.
Quorn are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Kettering Town, L 1-4 @ Guiseley AFC, W 2-1 v Shepshed Dynamo, W 2-0 @ Ilkeston Town.
The market prices KET at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
