Where the market is wrong on Kelantan City v Kuching FA
Kelantan City meet Kuching FA in the FA Cup quarter-finals at Sultan Mohammad IV Stadium, Kota Bharu.
Kuching FA rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1496. Recent form leans Kuching FA, 75% against 50%. Attacking output favors Kuching FA on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.
Kelantan City arrive patchy: 1W-1D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Kuching FA, L 2-3 @ Negeri Sembilan, W 2-0 v Negeri Sembilan.
Kuching FA are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Kelantan City, L 1-2 @ Phnom Penh Crown, W 2-1 @ Melaka, W 5-1 v Kelantan Red Warrior FC.
The market prices KEL at 7% implied. Our number sits apart on Kelantan City: a 18.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
