São José EC v Comercial: the model read
São José EC meet Comercial in the Copa Paulista quarter-finals at Estadio Martins Pereira, Sao Jose dos Campos.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 53%. Attacking output favors São José EC on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
São José EC arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Comercial, D 0-0 @ Comercial, D 0-0 v São Caetano, W 3-2 @ EC São Bernardo.
Comercial are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ São José EC, D 0-0 v São José EC, L 0-2 @ EC São Bernardo, W 2-0 v EC São Bernardo.
São José EC hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: São José EC 3-0 Comercial.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
