Where the market is wrong on Feronikeli v Drita
Feronikeli meet Drita in the Superliga regular season - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Feronikeli, 63% against 48%. Attacking output favors Feronikeli on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.5 per match.
Feronikeli arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Drita, L 0-2 @ Ballkani, L 0-3 v Malisheva, L 0-1 @ Dukagjini.
Drita are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Feronikeli, D 0-0 v Drenica Skënderaj, W 1-0 @ Vushtrria, D 0-0 @ Inter Club d'Escaldes.
Drita hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Feronikeli 1-0 Drita.
The market prices FER at 14% implied. Our number sits apart on Feronikeli: a 24.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
