Where the market is wrong on Bahla v Fanja
Bahla meet Fanja in the FA Cup group stage - 5.
Bahla rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1420. Recent form leans Bahla, 55% against 38%. Attacking output favors Bahla on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.7 per match.
Bahla arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Fanja, D 2-2 @ Al Nasr, W 3-1 @ Sur, L 0-1 @ Saham.
Fanja are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Bahla, W 3-1 v Al Nasr, L 0-2 @ Dhofar, D 0-0 @ Smail.
Bahla hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bahla 4-0 Fanja.
The market prices BAH at 72% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 12.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output